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http://hdl.handle.net/10609/146985
Títol: | Assessing the relationship between electricity and natural gas prices in European markets in times of distress |
Autoria: | Uribe, Jorge M. Mosquera Sandoval, Stephania Arenas, Oscar |
Altres: | Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC) |
Resum: | We investigate the transmission of natural gas shocks to electricity prices under different scenarios of electricity generation for 21 European markets, from January 1, 2015 to March 11, 2022, proposing indicators of market vulnerability based on the quantile slopes of the regressions of electricity on natural gas and the distance between the transmission effects at very high and low quantiles of the electricity price distribution. We determine that the level of market integration is the main factor underlying national differentiation. Denmark, Finland, Sweden, and Germany are the most vulnerable markets to natural gas price shocks under distress. Our results highlight a source of vulnerability that only emerges during market distress scenarios for countries with a small, but non-zero, proportion of natural gas in domestic generation mixes under marginal cost-based electricity pricing. Further market integration is proposed to increase resilience in European electricity markets, based on a different set of regressions. |
Paraules clau: | crisi energetica escassetat d'energia integració energia-gas seguritat energetica interrupció del gas natural |
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113018 |
Tipus de document: | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Versió del document: | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
Data de publicació: | 2-jul-2022 |
Llicència de publicació: | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |
Apareix a les col·leccions: | Articles Articles cientÍfics |
Arxius per aquest ítem:
Arxiu | Descripció | Mida | Format | |
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Assessing the relationship between electricity and natural gas prices in European markets in times of distress.pdf | Assessing the relationship between electricity and natural gas prices in European markets in times of distress | 11,19 MB | Adobe PDF | Veure/Obrir |
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